European match predictions 2026/27

Official Ranko edition · 2026-11-03 to 2026-11-05

Published 2 Nov 2026, 07:45 UTC. All values are frozen before kickoff.

10 complete forecasts · 1 withheld for insufficient calibration.

One published snapshot for the European matchweek

Team inputs were refreshed 2026-11-02T06:57:19.627968+00:00, with results through 2026-11-02. The current rankings can change, but this forecast edition will not be recalculated after results arrive.

Probabilities refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The smaller number below each probability is its fair decimal odds, without a bookmaker margin. These are model estimates, not guarantees or betting advice. Calibration remains under evaluation.

Percentages and odds are rounded for display. The download retains the original probabilities, which sum to one.

Champions League · Matchday 4

6 forecasts; 1 withheld; 11 fixtures outside the five-league network.

FixtureKickoff (UTC)HomeDrawAwayTop pick / status
Man United
vs Roma
3 Nov 20:00 14.9%
6.71
27.3%
3.67
57.8%
1.73
Roma
Villarreal
vs PSG
3 Nov 20:00 1.0%
100.00
6.1%
16.44
92.9%
1.08
PSG

Extreme model estimate; calibration remains under review.

Atleti
vs Bayern
3 Nov 20:00 22.0%
4.54
32.5%
3.07
45.5%
2.20
Bayern
Barça
vs Aston Villa
3 Nov 20:00 71.2%
1.41
16.3%
6.12
12.5%
7.99
Barça
Dortmund
vs Real Betis
4 Nov 20:00 51.4%
1.95
30.8%
3.25
17.9%
5.60
Dortmund
RC Lens
vs Como 1907
4 Nov 20:00 47.4%
2.11
19.4%
5.16
33.2%
3.01
RC Lens
RB Leipzig
vs Man City
4 Nov 20:00 Forecast withheld. Insufficient probability calibration for a complete three-way forecast.
11 fixtures outside the ranking network
  • Shakhtar vs Sporting · 3 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Galatasaray vs Stuttgart · 3 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Feyenoord vs Inter · 3 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Bodo/Glimt vs Lille · 3 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • LASK Linz vs S Bratislava · 3 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Fenerbahce vs Liverpool · 4 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • AEK Athens vs Real Madrid · 4 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • FC Porto vs Napoli · 4 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Viking FK vs Sabah · 4 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • PSV vs Club Brugge · 4 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Slavia Prague vs Arsenal · 4 Nov 20:00 UTC

These fixtures remain in the downloadable edition with their coverage status.

Europa League · Matchday 4

3 forecasts; 15 fixtures outside the five-league network.

FixtureKickoff (UTC)HomeDrawAwayTop pick / status
Crystal Palace
vs Hoffenheim
5 Nov 17:45 42.9%
2.33
7.3%
13.68
49.8%
2.01
Hoffenheim
Real Sociedad
vs Olympique Lyon
5 Nov 17:45 54.8%
1.82
15.5%
6.47
29.7%
3.37
Real Sociedad
Leverkusen
vs Marseille
5 Nov 20:00 56.9%
1.76
5.2%
19.07
37.9%
2.64
Leverkusen
15 fixtures outside the ranking network
  • Stade Rennais vs Olympiacos · 4 Nov 15:30 UTC
  • Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzen · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Sparta vs Bournemouth · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Milan vs Ferencvaros · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • NEC vs Omonia · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Anderlecht vs RB Salzburg · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Celtic vs Besiktas · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Sturm Graz vs NK Celje · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Benfica vs Lech Poznan · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Celta vs Union SG · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Hapoel Be'er vs OFI Crete · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC

These fixtures remain in the downloadable edition with their coverage status.

Conference League · Matchday 3

1 forecasts; 17 fixtures outside the five-league network.

FixtureKickoff (UTC)HomeDrawAwayTop pick / status
Getafe
vs Brighton Hove
5 Nov 20:00 1.3%
77.67
2.8%
35.73
95.9%
1.04
Brighton Hove

Extreme model estimate; calibration remains under review.

17 fixtures outside the ranking network
  • Mjällby vs Borac · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Red Imps vs Hajduk Split · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Trabzonspor vs Freiburg · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Red Star vs Inter D'Escaldes · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • FC Thun vs Hearts · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Midtjylland vs Ajax · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • AGF vs Braga · 5 Nov 17:45 UTC
  • København vs Iberia 1999 · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • CSU Craiova vs Egnatia · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Riga FC vs Jablonec · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Sint-Truidense vs SK Brann · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • FC Twente vs Pafos · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • FC Lugano vs Kauno Zalgiris · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC
  • Monaco vs Nordsjælland · 5 Nov 20:00 UTC

These fixtures remain in the downloadable edition with their coverage status.

Coverage and publication rules

Ranko covers clubs in England, Spain, Germany, Italy and France. Every scheduled fixture is listed, including matches outside this network and forecasts withheld before kickoff. A quote is withheld when an outcome probability is zero, non-finite or no greater than one in a million. Probabilities must sum to one. No replacement draw probability or artificial odds cap is inserted.

The rating and probability formula have not been changed for this launch. No bookmaker odds, lineups or injuries enter the model. The method and its calibration parameters remain proprietary.

Version: ranko-2026.1. The downloadable record includes a hash of the private input snapshot for later verification without disclosing the forecasting engine.

Published editions

2026-11-03 to 2026-11-05